Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Evans 55.4% (-11.7%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Malkin
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
56.2% (477)
-10.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
70.0% (10)
-35.4%
On power play, Evans has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Malkin
Evans
Home
50.4% (113)
55.3% (374)
Away
39.4% (132)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Malkin
Evans
P1
47.7%
58.5%
P2
44.9%
55.7%
P3
40.0%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%