Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Evans 51.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 75.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Malkin
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Malkin
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
54.5% (483)
-5.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
58.3% (12)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.9% (155)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Malkin
Evans
Home
52.3% (438)
49.4% (336)
Away
46.2% (418)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Malkin
Evans
P1
51.3%
55.8%
P2
50.8%
51.7%
P3
45.0%
48.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |