Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.9% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 81.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 73.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Malkin
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Pavelski
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Malkin
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (827)
51.3% (643)
-8.6%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
58.1% (172)
+5.1%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Malkin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Malkin shoots left. Pavelski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Malkin
Pavelski
Home
45.1% (426)
53.8% (431)
Away
41.2% (420)
51.1% (425)
By Period
Malkin
Pavelski
P1
41.3%
48.4%
P2
44.0%
52.0%
P3
44.7%
55.6%
OT
25.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |