Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 57.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Malkin
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
52.5% (570)
-8.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
54.5% (145)
-24.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Malkin
Pavelski
Home
45.5% (202)
55.0% (391)
Away
41.4% (174)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Malkin
Pavelski
P1
48.4%
50.8%
P2
41.7%
55.0%
P3
40.4%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%