Evgeni Malkin vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 77.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Malkin
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Malkin
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Malkin
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
44.7% (1,053)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
36.8% (95)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
65.0% (20)
-15.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacKinnon
Home
52.3% (438)
49.4% (553)
Away
46.2% (418)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Malkin
MacKinnon
P1
51.3%
45.3%
P2
50.8%
42.7%
P3
45.0%
45.1%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |