Evgeni Malkin vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 78.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Malkin
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malkin
MacKinnon
Last 6: Malkin 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Malkin
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
45.5% (1,190)
+2.4%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
56.4% (94)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (30)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacKinnon
Home
49.6% (405)
47.8% (670)
Away
47.5% (396)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Malkin
MacKinnon
P1
49.6%
45.3%
P2
47.2%
48.5%
P3
48.5%
45.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |