Evgeni Malkin vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 57.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 52.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Malkin
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Malkin
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Malkin
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
49.2% (1,266)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
54.9% (193)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.1% (55)
+50.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacKinnon
Home
47.5% (326)
50.9% (740)
Away
44.0% (307)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Malkin
MacKinnon
P1
49.3%
50.9%
P2
44.7%
51.8%
P3
42.3%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |