Evgeni Malkin vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Malkin
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
50.0% (992)
-4.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
64.9% (148)
-30.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacKinnon
Home
50.4% (113)
53.3% (591)
Away
39.4% (132)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Malkin
MacKinnon
P1
47.7%
49.9%
P2
44.9%
53.2%
P3
40.0%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%