Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Carrick 49.5% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Malkin
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
48.9% (352)
-4.9%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
81.3% (16)
-51.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carrick
Home
45.5% (202)
46.9% (192)
Away
41.4% (174)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Malkin
Carrick
P1
48.4%
48.1%
P2
41.7%
50.0%
P3
40.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%