Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Carrick 53.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 77.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 90.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 66.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Malkin
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Carrick
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Malkin
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
53.9% (521)
-6.0%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
57.1% (35)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.5% (229)
+48.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carrick
Home
49.6% (405)
52.7% (408)
Away
47.5% (396)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Malkin
Carrick
P1
49.6%
51.4%
P2
47.2%
56.6%
P3
48.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |