Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Carrick 53.8% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Malkin
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
55.1% (439)
-9.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
66.7% (3)
-32.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carrick
Home
50.4% (113)
58.2% (225)
Away
39.4% (132)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Malkin
Carrick
P1
47.7%
56.7%
P2
44.9%
52.8%
P3
40.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
35.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%