Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.3%). Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 86.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Malkin
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Carrick
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Malkin
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
49.2% (307)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
66.7% (6)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.2% (56)
+1.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carrick
Home
52.3% (438)
50.3% (175)
Away
46.2% (418)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Malkin
Carrick
P1
51.3%
41.0%
P2
50.8%
51.2%
P3
45.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |