Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Malkin wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Kuraly 46.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 62.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Malkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Malkin
Kuraly
Last 9: Malkin 3-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Malkin
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
4
Malkin
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
46.0% (661)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
77.8% (9)
-25.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.1% (51)
-47.1%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Malkin shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kuraly
Home
44.2% (489)
47.2% (335)
Away
43.3% (563)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Malkin
Kuraly
P1
40.9%
47.1%
P2
42.2%
44.6%
P3
48.5%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |