Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Malkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Malkin
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
51.8% (444)
-6.1%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kuraly
Home
50.4% (113)
54.6% (304)
Away
39.4% (132)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Malkin
Kuraly
P1
47.7%
55.2%
P2
44.9%
45.7%
P3
40.0%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |