Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.1%). Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Malkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Kuraly
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Malkin
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Malkin
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
49.4% (445)
-1.5%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
100.0% (3)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.9% (117)
+58.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kuraly
Home
49.6% (405)
49.2% (248)
Away
47.5% (396)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Malkin
Kuraly
P1
49.6%
48.3%
P2
47.2%
44.7%
P3
48.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |