Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.6%). Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 69.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Malkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Malkin
Kuraly
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
9
1
Malkin
Kuraly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Malkin
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
49.2% (901)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
68.2% (22)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.8% (219)
+0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kuraly
Home
52.3% (438)
51.7% (603)
Away
46.2% (418)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Malkin
Kuraly
P1
51.3%
50.9%
P2
50.8%
49.5%
P3
45.0%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |