Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 90.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 70.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Malkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Malkin
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
55.3% (515)
-9.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.8% (58)
+55.2%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kuraly
Home
47.5% (326)
57.3% (293)
Away
44.0% (307)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Malkin
Kuraly
P1
49.3%
53.8%
P2
44.7%
51.5%
P3
42.3%
57.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |