Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.8% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 56.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 55.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Malkin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Malkin
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (211)
56.7% (254)
-11.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
52.6% (76)
+47.4%
On power play, Malkin has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Malkin is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Malkin shoots left. Stamkos is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stamkos
Home
51.5% (103)
51.9% (158)
Away
39.4% (109)
59.8% (174)
By Period
Malkin
Stamkos
P1
47.9%
56.5%
P2
47.7%
55.0%
P3
40.0%
56.5%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
34.1%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |