Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 54.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Malkin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
49.3% (670)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
53.7% (121)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stamkos
Home
47.5% (326)
54.0% (400)
Away
44.0% (307)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Malkin
Stamkos
P1
49.3%
48.6%
P2
44.7%
54.5%
P3
42.3%
45.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |