Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 50.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 75.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 79.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Malkin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Malkin
Stamkos
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Malkin
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
55.9% (499)
-8.0%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
56.3% (126)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stamkos
Home
49.6% (405)
55.3% (349)
Away
47.5% (396)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Malkin
Stamkos
P1
49.6%
57.0%
P2
47.2%
59.2%
P3
48.5%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |