Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 79.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 64.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Malkin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Stamkos
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Malkin
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
55.3% (628)
-6.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
55.1% (216)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.2% (87)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stamkos
Home
52.3% (438)
55.5% (499)
Away
46.2% (418)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Malkin
Stamkos
P1
51.3%
50.7%
P2
50.8%
53.8%
P3
45.0%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |