Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Nosek 58.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 98.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 71.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 83.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Malkin
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Malkin
Nosek
Last 8: Malkin 1-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Malkin
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Malkin
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
59.7% (469)
-10.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
100.0% (4)
-44.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
56.5% (124)
-6.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nosek
Home
52.3% (438)
59.0% (295)
Away
46.2% (418)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Malkin
Nosek
P1
51.3%
56.3%
P2
50.8%
61.9%
P3
45.0%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |