Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Nosek 51.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Malkin
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malkin
Nosek
Last 7: Malkin 2-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Malkin
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
54.4% (215)
-6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
23.5% (17)
+76.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +76.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nosek
Home
49.6% (405)
50.4% (127)
Away
47.5% (396)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Malkin
Nosek
P1
49.6%
51.4%
P2
47.2%
51.3%
P3
48.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |