Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Nosek 51.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 66.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Malkin
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Malkin
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Malkin
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
53.0% (400)
-7.5%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
33.3% (12)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.5% (44)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nosek
Home
47.5% (326)
49.6% (244)
Away
44.0% (307)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Malkin
Nosek
P1
49.3%
53.1%
P2
44.7%
51.4%
P3
42.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |