Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 93.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 74.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 82.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Malkin
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Malkin
Nosek
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
7
Malkin
Nosek
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
5
Malkin
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
54.9% (2,674)
-9.3%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
44.7% (47)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
47.4% (424)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nosek
Home
47.6% (5,395)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Malkin
Nosek
P1
45.9%
52.3%
P2
46.2%
54.0%
P3
45.2%
54.6%
OT
49.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |