Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Zegras 39.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 89.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 87.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Malkin
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Malkin
Zegras
Last 6: Malkin 5-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
38.6% (1,669)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
38.5% (148)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
28.6% (7)
+3.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zegras
Home
47.6% (5,395)
39.9% (882)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Malkin
Zegras
P1
45.9%
40.2%
P2
46.2%
38.0%
P3
45.2%
37.7%
OT
49.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |