Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Zegras 41.5% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 59.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 53.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 52.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Malkin
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
39.4% (510)
+4.6%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
47.1% (34)
-17.1%
On power play, Zegras has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zegras
Home
45.5% (202)
42.3% (272)
Away
41.4% (174)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Malkin
Zegras
P1
48.4%
37.6%
P2
41.7%
41.5%
P3
40.4%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%