Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Zegras 42.6% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 91.4%
Defensive zone
Malkin 72.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 82.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Malkin
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Malkin
Zegras
Last 6: Malkin 5-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
41.1% (559)
+7.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
50.0% (12)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Malkin has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zegras
Home
52.3% (438)
45.7% (247)
Away
46.2% (418)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Malkin
Zegras
P1
51.3%
45.5%
P2
50.8%
36.8%
P3
45.0%
41.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |