Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Zegras 41.3% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.4%
Defensive zone
Zegras 56.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Malkin
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
36.5% (156)
+9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
40.7% (27)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zegras
Home
47.5% (326)
38.9% (113)
Away
44.0% (307)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Malkin
Zegras
P1
49.3%
40.0%
P2
44.7%
38.1%
P3
42.3%
31.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%