Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Zegras 35.4% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 50.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 54.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Malkin
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
29.6% (230)
+16.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
32.1% (56)
+2.5%
On even strength, Malkin has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zegras
Home
50.4% (113)
30.6% (147)
Away
39.4% (132)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Malkin
Zegras
P1
47.7%
33.0%
P2
44.9%
31.7%
P3
40.0%
25.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%