Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Malkin wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Johnson 48.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 74.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 74.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Malkin
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Malkin
Johnson
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Malkin
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Malkin
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
5
Malkin
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
49.5% (828)
-6.4%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
54.9% (142)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
36.8% (133)
-20.1%
On power play, Johnson has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Malkin is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Malkin shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johnson
Home
42.6% (338)
50.7% (564)
Away
42.7% (417)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Malkin
Johnson
P1
40.9%
51.2%
P2
45.3%
47.5%
P3
42.0%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |