Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Johnson 45.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 54.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Malkin
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
44.6% (285)
+3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
46.7% (60)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
16.7% (6)
+83.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johnson
Home
49.6% (405)
50.8% (179)
Away
47.5% (396)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Malkin
Johnson
P1
49.6%
41.3%
P2
47.2%
41.8%
P3
48.5%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |