Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Johnson 50.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 54.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Malkin
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
47.4% (78)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
57.6% (33)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johnson
Home
52.3% (438)
50.9% (57)
Away
46.2% (418)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Malkin
Johnson
P1
51.3%
44.1%
P2
50.8%
59.4%
P3
45.0%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |