Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Johnson 53.6% (-17.2%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 51.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Malkin
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
61.9% (42)
-17.9%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
55.6% (9)
-25.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johnson
Home
45.5% (202)
52.0% (25)
Away
41.4% (174)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Malkin
Johnson
P1
48.4%
72.0%
P2
41.7%
66.7%
P3
40.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%