Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Malkin wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Johnson 50.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 58.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 67.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Malkin
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Malkin
Johnson
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Malkin
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
5
Malkin
Johnson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
51.8% (548)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
51.7% (58)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.7% (113)
-40.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Malkin is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Malkin shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Malkin
Johnson
Home
44.2% (489)
53.6% (371)
Away
43.3% (563)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Malkin
Johnson
P1
40.9%
50.9%
P2
42.2%
50.2%
P3
48.5%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |