Connor McDavid vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Kuznetsov 44.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 69.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 54.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 73.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kuznetsov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Kuznetsov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
43.5% (747)
+3.4%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
46.3% (41)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
26.7% (15)
+18.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
McDavid shoots left. Kuznetsov is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuznetsov
Home
49.9% (353)
43.7% (414)
Away
45.4% (317)
42.9% (389)
By Period
McDavid
Kuznetsov
P1
46.6%
43.7%
P2
50.9%
44.1%
P3
45.9%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |