Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Evans 49.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 75.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Kuznetsov
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Kuznetsov
Evans
Last 10: Kuznetsov 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Kuznetsov
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
5
3
Kuznetsov
Evans
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
51.3% (739)
-8.0%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
53.3% (15)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
43.0% (172)
-2.2%
On even strength, Evans has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Evans
Home
43.9% (602)
52.1% (503)
Away
43.1% (564)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Evans
P1
43.2%
50.5%
P2
41.5%
47.7%
P3
45.2%
51.3%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |