Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Evans 52.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 86.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 64.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 63.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kuznetsov
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kuznetsov
Evans
Last 6: Kuznetsov 2-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Kuznetsov
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
54.4% (807)
-10.0%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
55.0% (20)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
46.1% (310)
-9.7%
On even strength, Evans has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Evans
Home
48.6% (370)
53.7% (581)
Away
41.4% (377)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Evans
P1
44.3%
54.6%
P2
49.6%
50.0%
P3
41.4%
52.3%
OT
42.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
41.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |