Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Evans 52.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 91.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 55.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 82.8%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Kuznetsov
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
18
(29 meetings)
11
18
Kuznetsov
Evans
Last 10: Kuznetsov 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
2
Kuznetsov
Evans
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
9
Kuznetsov
Evans
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
7
Kuznetsov
Evans
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
53.8% (3,695)
-9.9%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
60.0% (70)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
47.1% (1,222)
-8.9%
On power play, Evans has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Evans
Home
44.8% (4,622)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Evans
P1
43.6%
54.0%
P2
45.8%
50.9%
P3
42.8%
52.0%
OT
43.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |