Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Evans 51.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 91.3%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 59.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 73.7%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Kuznetsov
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Kuznetsov
Evans
Last 10: Kuznetsov 2-8 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Evans
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Kuznetsov
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Kuznetsov
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
54.5% (483)
-6.8%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
58.3% (12)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
43.9% (155)
-4.5%
On even strength, Evans has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Evans
Home
45.9% (534)
49.4% (336)
Away
49.2% (535)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Evans
P1
44.8%
55.8%
P2
52.1%
51.7%
P3
44.5%
48.2%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |