Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 59.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 81.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 73.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
52.5% (570)
-9.2%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
54.5% (145)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
44.4% (36)
-3.6%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
Home
43.9% (602)
55.0% (391)
Away
43.1% (564)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
P1
43.2%
50.8%
P2
41.5%
55.0%
P3
45.2%
52.0%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |