Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 71.6%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 78.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 83.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
20
(35 meetings)
15
20
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
10
3
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
12
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
5
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
53.6% (8,791)
-9.7%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
58.2% (2,122)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
50.9% (1,138)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
Home
44.8% (4,622)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Pavelski
P1
43.6%
53.5%
P2
45.8%
55.2%
P3
42.8%
53.9%
OT
43.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 22, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |