Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Hayes 38.9% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 50.7%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 54.5%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 55.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Last 6: Kuznetsov 3-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Kuznetsov
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
35.4% (362)
+12.3%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
52.9% (17)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
0.0% (2)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Home
49.8% (592)
36.8% (212)
Away
45.5% (545)
34.9% (169)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hayes
P1
49.0%
40.3%
P2
49.3%
31.1%
P3
45.3%
34.2%
OT
40.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |