Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (66% H2H, 32 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Hayes 47.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 50-35 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 77.2%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 55.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 60.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
50
(85 meetings)
35
50
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Last 10: Kuznetsov 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
10
7
Kuznetsov
Hayes
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
14
22
Kuznetsov
Hayes
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
11
21
Kuznetsov
Hayes
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
47.5% (6,708)
-3.6%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
51.7% (702)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
45.3% (697)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Home
44.8% (4,622)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hayes
P1
43.6%
47.5%
P2
45.8%
47.6%
P3
42.8%
47.9%
OT
43.2%
54.1%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 23, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |