Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Hayes 49.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 53.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Last 10: Kuznetsov 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
4
Kuznetsov
Hayes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
48.5% (557)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
53.3% (107)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
58.3% (12)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Home
45.9% (534)
50.8% (313)
Away
49.2% (535)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hayes
P1
44.8%
52.3%
P2
52.1%
47.7%
P3
44.5%
48.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 23, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |