Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Hayes 56.3% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 57.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 63.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Kuznetsov
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
56.6% (724)
-12.2%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
57.0% (79)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
65.7% (35)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Home
48.6% (370)
58.0% (405)
Away
41.4% (377)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hayes
P1
44.3%
54.7%
P2
49.6%
55.7%
P3
41.4%
60.2%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |