Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.5% vs 42.8%). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 67.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 66.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Kuznetsov
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
42.7% (478)
+0.6%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
42.9% (98)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
45.2% (31)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Home
43.9% (602)
43.5% (232)
Away
43.1% (564)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hayes
P1
43.2%
40.1%
P2
41.5%
44.8%
P3
45.2%
42.4%
OT
55.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |