Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.5% vs Hayes 46.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 76.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 66.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 53.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Last 10: Kuznetsov 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Kuznetsov
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
4
Kuznetsov
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (962)
45.4% (788)
-2.6%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
50.0% (56)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
45.2% (124)
+29.8%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Home
42.6% (493)
46.6% (459)
Away
45.2% (544)
44.8% (509)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hayes
P1
44.0%
43.0%
P2
47.2%
49.5%
P3
40.8%
44.7%
OT
38.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |