Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.1% vs Hayes 50.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 69.5%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 72.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Last 10: Kuznetsov 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Kuznetsov
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kuznetsov
Hayes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
5
Kuznetsov
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (747)
51.3% (672)
-7.8%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
50.0% (78)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
40.8% (76)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Home
43.7% (414)
52.0% (404)
Away
42.9% (389)
48.6% (422)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hayes
P1
43.7%
50.7%
P2
44.1%
50.2%
P3
42.1%
49.8%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |