Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Sturm 52.5% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 91.7%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 50.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 71.2%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
3
Kuznetsov
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
54.0% (480)
-10.7%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
28.6% (7)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
50.0% (102)
-9.2%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Home
43.9% (602)
54.0% (287)
Away
43.1% (564)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Sturm
P1
43.2%
53.5%
P2
41.5%
51.0%
P3
45.2%
55.1%
OT
55.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |